On Wednesday night, the US Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control hit Russia's two largest oil exporters, Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, with sanctions. The move raises the stakes for buyers of their barrels, principally refiners in China, India and Turkey.
Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, together with Surgutneftegas PJSC and Gazprom Neft PJSC, blacklisted in January, accounted for almost 70% of Russia's crude exports — around 3.1 million barrels a day — in the first half of the year.
If just half the Russian barrels covered by sanctions are curtailed, that could push the global oil market next year from a surplus of 700,000 barrels a day into a deficit, according to Bloomberg calculations using forecasts from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.
